On Mar 10, 10:57=A0pm, "NB00Z" <NB...@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> wrote:
> "Roger Coppock" <rcopp...@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> wrote in message
[ . . . ]
> Fighting global warming if done correctly,
> if done NOW, at the bottom of the exponential curve,
> *******
>
> ROTFLMAO
> Exponential curve my ass!
Below is the global land and sea analysis.
note that the sum of the residuals for the
exponential curve, 12.76787, is smaller than
that for the linear, 12.82338. The two degree
of freedom exponential fits the data better
than the two degree of freedom line. Moreover,
the trend over the last half-century is toward
more exponential behavior.
If one were interested in facts, not fossil
fool fantasy, one could look at the steady
increase on this thirty year rolling slope
graph:
http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Slope1952-2007.jpg
=3D-=3D-=3D-=3D-=3D-=3D-=3D-=3D-=3D-=3D-=3D
2007 TIES FOR SECOND WARMEST ON NASA's 128-Year Global Record!
I wonder, "During this year, how many times will the fossil
fools tell their lie about global warming ending?" Meanwhile,
the global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.
These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of land stations and ****ps around the globe
over the last 128 years. Yes, the land data are corrected for
the urban heat island effect. The sea data do not need to be.
There are few urban centers in the sea.
The Mean Yearly temperature over the last 128 years is 13.974 C.
The Variance is 0.05890.
The Standard Deviation, or SIGMA, is 0.2427.
These data are graphed at:
http://members.cox.net/rcoppock/Global%20Mean%20Temp.jpg
Rxy 0.859133 Rxy^2 0.73811
TEMP =3D 13.610396 + (0.005643 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom =3D 126 F =3D 355.11803
Confidence of nonzero correlation =3D approximately
0.9999999999999999999999999999999999999 (37 nines), which is darn
close to 100%!
The year 2007
is linearly projected to be 14.333,
yet it was 14.57. <- 1 SIGMA above the projection!
The sum of the residuals is 12.82338
Exponential least squares fit:
TEMP =3D 13.61461 * e^(.0004020 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the residuals is 12.76787
Rank of the Years
Year Temp C Anomaly Z score
2005 14.62 0.646 2.66
2007 14.57 0.596 2.45 <--
1998 14.57 0.596 2.45
2002 14.56 0.586 2.41
2003 14.55 0.576 2.37
2006 14.54 0.566 2.33
2004 14.49 0.516 2.12
2001 14.48 0.506 2.08
1997 14.40 0.426 1.75
1995 14.38 0.406 1.67
1990 14.38 0.406 1.67
1991 14.35 0.376 1.55
2000 14.33 0.356 1.47
MEAN 13.974 0.000 0.00
1913 13.68 -0.294 -1.21
1893 13.68 -0.294 -1.21
1892 13.68 -0.294 -1.21
1910 13.67 -0.304 -1.25
1894 13.67 -0.304 -1.25
1912 13.66 -0.314 -1.30
1911 13.66 -0.314 -1.30
1908 13.66 -0.314 -1.30
1904 13.66 -0.314 -1.30
1909 13.65 -0.324 -1.34
1887 13.65 -0.324 -1.34
1890 13.63 -0.344 -1.42
1907 13.61 -0.364 -1.50
1917 13.60 -0.374 -1.54
The most recent 166 continuous months, or 13 years and 10 months,
on this GLB.Ts+dSST.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1536 months of data on this data set:
-- 653 of them are at or above the norm.
-- 883 of them are below the norm.
This run of 166 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.
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