> Here are the global average temperatures over the last decade. "o" =
> trend line.
>
> ==
>
> 1998 14.57 *********************o*****
> 1999 14.33 *****************=====o
> 2000 14.33 *****************======o
> 2001 14.48 ************************o
> 2002 14.56 *************************o**
> 2003 14.55 **************************o*
> 2004 14.49 *************************==o
> 2005 14.63 *****************************o**
> 2006 14.54 ***************************===o
> 2007 14.57 *****************************
>
> Look at all those "o"'s lined up there. The trend is up, Up, UP.
>
> And the rate of increase is about 2'C per century.
>
> http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5VMu14mBXAs
re****t from R
> temp <- c(14.57, 14.33, 14.33, 14.48, 14.56, 14.55, 14.49, 14.63,
14.54, 14.57)
> year <- 1998:2007
> summary(lm(temp~year))
Call:
lm(formula = temp ~ year)
Residuals:
Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
-0.129697 -0.038742 -0.007182 0.057030 0.146545
Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)
(Intercept) -21.782727 19.927508 -1.093 0.306
year 0.018121 0.009951 1.821 0.106
Residual standard error: 0.09039 on 8 degrees of freedom
Multiple R-Squared: 0.293, Adjusted R-squared: 0.2047
F-statistic: 3.316 on 1 and 8 DF, p-value: 0.1061
which means that there is no evidence for linear trend
lining up << all those "o"'s >> does not mean anything
z


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