jonathan <maatschj@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> wrote in message
news:NPZDj.22537$vr3.19345@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
>
> Is my performance so far this year good, bad or ugly?
I can't decide, like a Mexican stand-off...
> On a total of 26 trades
> I've had 13 winners, 5 losers and 5 ties (+-1%) this year.
Well, you're doing better than just about everybody here...
> The 13 winners ave return was 8% each
> The 5 losers -4% each.
> The average return for all 26 trades was about 3.5% each.
> That's roughly 21/2 trades a week, 8% return per week.
MUCH better...
> Damn, now that I've typed this out, that sounds pretty good
> to me. I'm getting psyched.
I'm getting bored...what makes you THINK that these results
aren't the result of "luck" rather than design?
> The basic idea behind my trading system is outlined
> abstractly in the first link....great stuff.
I ain't gonna look at it...what's it say?
> I think I can claim
> to have successfully used Chaos Theory, now called
> Complexity Science, in creating a very simple trading system.
Where have I heard this before? Oh, that's right, right in this
newsgroup (misc.invest.stocks) from a guy who posted a few
times, couldn't back up any of his claims, then disappeared...
> I think I've finally done it!!!
You THINK?
Do you know the difference between "thinking" and "hoping"?
> Does anyone know of any trading systems using the concepts
> of chaos theory?
My system draws in part from chaos theory. It most im****tantly
draws from the chaos theory concept of "multiplication of errors",
in which very small initial data errors are magnified and prediction
becomes well-nigh impossible...hence the name "chaos" theory...
> I've looked and haven't found anything
> online yet even close.
Anything that really "works" isn't going to be widely-disseminated...
> TOWARD THE 'EDGE METHODOLOGY' FOR COMPLEX
> SYSTEMS SIMULATION
> http://www.calresco.org/milov/ymtemcss.htm
If I actually looked at this, it'd probably be something I worked
out like twenty years ago...
> My bible
>
> The Complexity & Artificial Life Research Concept
> for Self-Organizing Systems
> http://www.calresco.org/
How ya feel about genetic algorithms? They're "fun" too...
---
William Ernest Reid
Post count: 975
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